The results of the Census held on 5 March 2013 and the Māori Electoral Option held between 25 March and 24 July 2013 are used by the Government Statistician to calculate the number of Māori and General electorates for the 2014 and 2017 General Elections. The number of electorates will be announced by Statistics New Zealand on 7 October 2013.
How electorates are calculated
The census counts the population usually living in New Zealand, including children and those not eligible to enrol. This information is used by the Government Statistician to calculate the following groups:
- Māori electoral population
- General electoral population - North Island
- General electoral population - South Island
The Māori electoral population is calculated using a statutory formula. This population includes:
- persons registered as electors of Māori electoral districts
- plus a proportion of persons of Māori descent who are not registered as electors
- plus a proportion of persons of Māori descent who are under the age of 18.
The General electoral population is the ordinarily resident population shown in the last census less the Māori electoral population.
All electorates must have about the same population size. The number of South Island General electorates is fixed at 16 by the Electoral Act 1993. To calculate the number of electorates the Government Statistician:
- divides the South Island General electoral population by 16 (this result provides the average electoral population for South Island electorates and is referred to as the South Island quota)
- divides the Māori electoral population by the South Island quota to work out the number of Māori electorates, and
- divides the North Island General electoral population by the South Island quota to work out the number of General electorates for the North Island.
The number of Māori and North Island General electorates are rounded to the nearest whole number.
More information about how Statistics New Zealand calculates electoral populations and the number of electorates is available at www.stats.govt.nz.
Factors that can impact on the number of Māori electorates
The following factors may influence the number of Māori electorates:
- population change since the last census
- the number of people included in the census
- how people answer the census Māori descent question
- the level of enrolment by people who have indicated they are of Māori descent on the General roll or Māori roll
- the proportion of electors of Māori descent who are on the Māori roll at the end of the Option period.
Timetable for new electorates and their boundaries
A full timeline for the 2013/14 boundary review is available here.